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EPISODE 351

A Crash Course in Mortgage Rates and Options Trading

Dan Rawitch, CEO and head trader at University of Options, former chief economist at Mortgage Coach · Thu, 17 Oct 2024
Market & IndustryMindset & Productivity

Dan Rawitch breaks down why the Fed's 50-basis-point cut was too aggressive, why bond markets pushed back, and why he forecasts rates in the 4% range by 2025. The second half covers his University of Options platform — options, futures, and copy-trading bots — as an income-diversification strategy for loan officers in cyclical markets. Best for LOs curious about market mechanics or supplemental income streams.

The bond market, not the Fed, controls mortgage rates — and right now bonds are signaling the 50-bps cut was a mistake, which is why rates didn't drop as expected.

Takeaways you can run this week

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The playbook

  1. 1. Open a simulator account at University of Options — no real money at risk.
  2. 2. Complete the futures trading program to learn terminology and account setup.
  3. 3. Enable the Flight Paths replicator bot; it mirrors Dan's trades into your account.
  4. 4. Trade one contract only ($500 capital), targeting $100/day.
  5. 5. Monitor from market open until ~10 a.m., then turn the bot off.
  6. 6. After accumulating $1,500 in gains (roughly 3 weeks), scale to two contracts and repeat.

Worth quoting

“Inflation comes from too many people chasing too few goods — a good job market has never brought us inflation.”
“It's more of an income generating strategy than an investment strategy — generate as much income with as little capital as possible.”

Best for

LOs who want to explain the rate environment credibly to clients and agents, or who are exploring income diversification during slow market cycles.

Links from the show notes

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